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- World Future Council
- Nairobi 2006
- Miguel Mendonca
- miguel@worldfuturecouncil.org
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- Increasing
- Energy demand
- Energy costs
- CO2 emissions and pollution
- Sea levels
- Health costs
- Climate instability
- Decreasing
- Fossil fuel reserves
- Biodiversity
- Natural resources
- Rural populations
- Faith in governments
- Time left for action
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- We have always used nature’s energy for our needs
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- Solar
- Wind
- Geothermal
- Hydro
- Wave
- Tidal
- Biomass
- Biogas
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- Costs and pricing: distortion from subsidies for competing fuels;
fluctuation of oil and gas prices; high initial capital costs;
environmental externalities
- Legal and regulatory: Lack of legal framework for independent power
producers; planning restrictions; grid access; liability insurance
requirements (net metering)
- Market performance: lack of access to credit; Perceived technology
performance uncertainty and risk; Lack of technical or commercial skills
and information
- Q: How can these be overcome?
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- Gives RE priority access to the grid
- Obliges grid operators to purchase electricity from RES
- Sets the price for RE electricity for fixed periods
- Sets no limit to amount of RE feeding into the grid
- Differential tariffs for technologies and equalisation scheme
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- Connection to the grid: paid by the plant operator
- Essential grid upgrades: paid by the grid system operator
- Metering devices: paid by the plant operator
- RE contribution: paid by consumer (only 3% of bill)
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- Overcomes barriers: guarantees grid access; premium price guarantees
support for the technology; 20-year tariff periods allow full investor
confidence.
- Supports installations of different sizes and technologies: In addition
to large RE projects for wind, solar etc, householders can now get a
guaranteed payback on a solar roof in just a few years, rather than
20-30 years. The 100,000 solar roof programme helped meet costs with
subsidies.
- Promotes innovation: Annual
reduction of tariffs for new installations drives technological
efficiency.
- Drives economies of scale: investment and demand are rising, and
manufacturing expansion is taking place globally in response, lowering
costs further.
- Promotes stability: Change of government does not affect system, as it
does not cost taxpayers anything through taxes, and so cannot be cut
from national budget.
- Promotes public support: Through public participation in the scheme, no
direct taxpayer costs, support for the nuclear phase-out, and awareness
levels being very high in general.
- All possible when implemented properly!
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- 170,000 jobs created
- 33 million tonnes of CO2 saved directly from EEG in 2004
- 83 million tonnes of CO2 saved overall in Germany 2005
- 10.2% share of final electricity consumption from RES achieved
- €16.4bn turnover in 2005 for German RE companies
- €8.7bn investment per year
- Reduction of around €5.40 worth of environmental damage per household
per month
- All this, at a cost of only around €1 per household per month!
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- “Renewable Tariffs have proven the most successful mechanism for
stimulating investment in renewable electricity generation worldwide.
Renewable Tariffs have resulted in more installed generating capacity
and more robust competition among manufacturers and have stimulated more
renewable technology development than any other policy mechanism.”
- - Paul Gipe, Renewable Energy Policy Mechanisms.
- “To date, feed-in or pricing systems have been responsible for most of
the additions in renewable energy capacity and generation, while also
driving down costs through technology advancement and economies of
scale, and developing domestic industries and jobs. Pricing systems,
where well-implemented, have provided increased predictability and
consistency in markets, which in turn has encouraged banks and other
financial institutions to provide the capital required for investment,
and has attracted private investment for R&D.”
- - Janet L. Sawin, National Policy Instruments: Policy Lessons for the
Advancement & Diffusion of Renewable Energy Technologies Around the
World.
- “…until now so called renewable energy feed-in tariffs (REFITs) have
shown the best effectiveness concerning the creation of new RES
installations.
- - Mischa Bechberger and Danyel Reiche, Good Environmental Governance
for Renewable Energies – The Example of Germany – Lessons for China?
- “…only a model based on guaranteed feed-in tariffs enables a quick and
broad implementation of renewable energy, better supports its
technological development, as well as more efficiently promotes cost
reduction.”
- - Hermann Scheer, On the future of national support for renewable
energy in Europe.
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- Ongoing environmental damage from CO2 already released
- Ongoing, unpredictable price rises for conventional energy
- Threats to livelihoods and national productivity from energy shortfalls
through high prices and poor grid investment
- Technological advances will make RE cost-competitive with conventional
fuels within a decade.
- Huge global markets for exports
- Increasing public support for RE as climate change accelerates
- Global cooperation over clean energies
- New emissions reduction protocol
- Switch to renewables - inevitable
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